Transactions: Catching Up
Catching up time:
6-2-08:
Recalled RHP Tom Mastny from Buffalo (AAA)
Optioned 1B Michael Aubrey to Buffalo (AAA)
Released RHP Jorge Julio (DFAd on 5-28-08)
Even with Travis Hafner going on the DL, Aubrey wasn't going to get any playing time, and even if he did, it would probably be at the expense of Andy Marte. Besides, the Indians needed the extra arm because Jake Westbrook had just come down with a sore elbow.
Jorge Julio, who was DFAd to make room for Jake Westbrook when he originally came off the DL, sealed his fate with his outing against the Rangers on May 23rd (1.2 IP, 6 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 1 SO). Mark Shapiro had gone through this before, and he understood that if a reliever isn't good and it's the end of May, you cut bait without a second thought.
6-3-08:
Placed RHP Jake Westbrook on the 15-Day Disabled List (right elbow)
Recalled RHP Jensen Lewis from Buffalo (AAA)
As we later found out, that elbow injury will require Tommy John surgery, sidelining Westbrook until at least June of next year. Realistically, the Indians aren't probably going to get Jake at full strength until the end of the 2009 season. It's a big blow to this year's chances, and it creates another 2009 rotation spot to fill.
6-4-08:
Recalled RHP Brian Slocum from Buffalo (AAA)
Purchased the Contract of RHP Rick Bauer (AAA)
Optioned RHP Jensen Lewis and RHP Tom Mastny to Buffalo (AAA)
This was in the midst of the Texas series, and the day after Tom Mastny's 1.1 inning start. The Indians had to use four other relievers, two of which had to go more than two innings. As we'll see shortly, Slocum didn't last long in Cleveland, though Bauer has stuck around to the present day.
Rick Bauer has been in the majors on and off since 2001, when he broke in with Baltimore. After pitching 71 innings for Texas in 2006, he was released by the Rangers at the end of Spring Training of the following year. He split 2007 between the Phillies and Dodgers organizations, and didn't do much to deserve a trip back to the majors during the season. But, as he was healthy and had a history of tolerable major-league relief work, he got a Spring Training invite with the Indians. He started the season as Buffalo's closer, and cut down on his walks, his major weakness.
But Bauer hasn't carried over his success with the Bisons to Cleveland. He's given up 6 runs in 4 innings of work, unfortunately par for the course for this year's bullpen. As soon as another minor-league reliever catches the front offices' attention, he'll be gone.
6-7-08
Signed LHP John Halama to a minor-league contract; Assigned him to Buffalo (AAA)
Last seen in the majors mopping up games for Baltimore in 2006, Halama was pitching in the Atlantic League when the Indians signed him. He's AAA roster filler.
6-8-08
Recalled LHP Jeremy Sowers from Buffalo (AAA)
Optioned RHP Brian Slocum to Buffalo (AAA)
The Indians couldn't bring Sowers up to pitch in Westbrook's spot the start before since he had just started a game in Buffalo. He'll be in the rotation until Fausto Carmona comes off the Disabled List.
6-9-08
Recalled 2B Josh Barfield from Buffalo (AAA)
Optioned 2B/SS Asdrubal Cabrera to Buffalo (AAA)
This was more about Cabrera than Barfield. Asdrubal had certainly defended well enough, but the Indians' lineup couldn't carry a .184/.282/.247 in the lineup, not with everyone else struggling. This was also supposed to be an opportunity for Barfield to try to win back his starting job at second, but...
6-12-08
Placed 2B Josh Barfield on the 15-Day Disabled List (finger)
Placed C Victor Martinez on the 15-Day Disabled List (right elbow)
Transferred Jake Westbrook to the 60-day Disabled List (right elbow)
Purchased the Contracts of C Yamid Haad and IF Jorge Velandia from Buffalo (AAA)
Designed RHP Oneli Perez for Assignment
Victor Martinez had been trying to push through despite a bad hamstring, which explained his Tyner-like power, but the elbow injury finally forced the Indians to shelve Martinez. Apparently he had first injured the elbow a month before, but tried to play through it. An MRI revealed loose bodies in his elbow, which meant surgery and at best six weeks on the DL.
Barfield also had to have surgery, and also will be out for while. Josh strained a ligament in his middle left finger as he checked his swing. Like Martinez, his timetable for return will be 6-8 weeks. It was a really bad time for Josh to go down, since the Indians were committed to having Asdrubal Cabrera spend some time in Buffalo. By the time he returns, the Indians may have traded for a second baseman.
Haad didn't play an inning, as Kelly Shoppach has started every day since his callup, and today was designated for assignment. Velandia has fared slightly better; he's gotten one at-bat. The middle infielder has bounced between the majors and the minors for the last 11 seasons, with all his major-league stints being short. Like with Haad, he's probably here until the Indians can find someone better. Hopefully that won't take long.
6-17-08
Signed 1B/3B Morgan Ensberg to a minor-league contract; Assigned him to Buffalo (AAA)
Ensberg was dreadful with Yankees, even with getting regular playing time while Alex Rodriguez was on the DL. The signing is a nice gamble for the Indians; at the very least, he'll make the Bisons a better team. Ensberg as late as 2006 hit .235/.396/.463, which would have been one of the best offensive lines on this year's club.
6-19-08
Traded a PTBNL to the Atlanta Braves for The 'Stache
Designated C Yamid Haad for Assignment
With Victor Martinez out until at least late July, the Indians were looking for a better backup because Wyatt Toregas hasn't hit (he was recently demoted to Akron). So they traded a PTBNL (probably nothing or cash) for Sal Fasano, a journeyman backup who should at very least provide the young Indians with the secrets of '70s facial hair.
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Week In Review: May 20–25
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The series: Visited the White Sox (loss, loss, loss) and hosted the Rangers (loss, win, loss).
The big story: We sucked. After climbing to the top of the division in the middle of last week, the Indians went 1-8. The pitching snapped back to reality, while the hitters produced the same 19 runs this week that they had over the previous six games, only more poorly distributed. In response, Wedge fumed, while Francisco and Aubrey added to the idea of slump by contagion, hitting far better in Cleveland than they ever have in Buffalo, seemingly immune to the rest of the team's two-month struggle.
The Indians are the worst-hitting team in the league this season, and they have also been, by far, the worst-hitting team in the majors in the month of May, more than a full run below the major-league average, and nearly a half-run per game worse than the worst team in the National League — again, that's the league where the pitchers are batting maybe three times a game. The offense has occasionally broken out for a big game, but that has only obscured how bad the offense really has been — the average is 3.4 runs per game, but the median is a solid 3.0. Week-long power outages have been the most notable feature of the 2008 season:
- April 3-9, 20 runs in seven games, 2.9 average, 2-5 record
- April 24-29, 16 runs in six games, 2.7 average, 3-3 record
- May 1-8, 16 runs in six games, 2.7 average, 3-3 record
- May 12-25, 41 runs in 14 games, 2.9 average, 5-9 record
We actually have a better than expected record in those games, of course, because our starting pitching has been so outstanding over most of those weeks. Incredibly, our Pythagorean record is actually 27-23 despite the awful hitting, but a half-dozen ninth-inning blowups have us at 23-27 instead.
The biggest tragedy here is the missed opportunities within the division, which directly impact our ability to make the playoffs and cannot be recouped. The Indians have been 32 runs better than the Tigers but have only a two-game edge to show for it rather than six or seven — should both teams have any kind of bounce back after this point, those games will make a difference.
Worse yet, the Indians surrendered three straight games to the White Sox, who may well turn out to be the only other team who can over 85 wins in a deeply disappointing division. Head-to-head records and BIP luck were the entire difference between these two clubs in 2005, when they ended the season with 99 and 93 wins respectively, and so far, history is repeating.
In other news: Fausto Carmona went to the Disabled List with a hip injury and is expected to miss a full month — yet nobody panicked, as Jake Westbrook was completing a successful run of rehab starts in Akron even as Carmona's season was getting ruptured. Westbrook was already scheduled to return on the exact day of Carmona's next would-be start, and even if he weren't, the Indians have other fine options waiting in Buffalo.
The Indians shuffled up the bullpen part of the roster pretty good, returning Joe Borowski to his old closer job late in the week and demoting Jensen Lewis, in the hopes that he can regain his old velocity in Buffalo. The team put rarely used lefty Craig Breslow on waivers while claiming Oneli Perez, a talented but struggling young reliever, from the White Sox and sending him to Buffalo. Scott Elarton and Ed Mujica were promoted from Buffalo to fill out the staff.
Post of the week: AngG gets her Rick James on (or is it her Wayne Brady?) as part of a hilarious sequence of rants. Other nominess: jhon (summing up Wedge disgust nicely), mjschaefer (replying to zempf), gte619n (replying to supermarioelia), drerikbrady (tremendous attention to detail), jakesinger777 (expanding on Cisco's Buckner moment).
Who fed it: C.C. Sabathia and Ben Francisco led a very slim list of candidates for this week, both of them continuing strong runs. Sabathia gave up three runs, all on solo-shots, over 14 innings, striking out 13 with three walks. He has a 1.63 ERA (and RA) over his past seven starts, averaging 8 strikeouts and 1.6 walks in 7.2 innings. Francisco pounded out five doubles and a home run while batting .320, and in playing every inning of the team's last 11 games, he's put up a stunning line of .395/.422/.721 — contributing more than 25% of the total bases and less than 8% of the outs. Rafael Betancourt bounced back from three horrendous weeks (16.20 ERA) with three scoreless innings, all in the 8th, although he did allow an inherited run. Absolute Best: Francisco. Relative Best: Francisco.
Who fed it breakdown: Relief pitchers are hard to evaluate based on box scores, considering the incredibly blunt instruments used to assign earned runs. Masa Kobayashi gave up an earned run, an unearned run and an inherited run this week but actually pitched pretty well. In the first game, he relieved Laffey with no outs and a man on first, facing the top of the Chicago lineup. He got a strikeout and a deep flyout, with a very speedy pinch-runner advancing to second base. He then allowed a single on the ground through the gaping Blake/Peralta hole, scoring the inherited runner, and finally his only earned run of the week on the only legit line-drive hit. In the second game, he faced the Rangers' 2-thru-5 hitters, getting a strikeout and two groundouts, allowing just a single on the ground to Josh Hamilton — a damned fine inning. In the third game, he faced the Rangers' 3-thru-1 hitters, and he got three groundouts including a double-play, plus a strikeout and a flyout. He allowed only a walk, a single on the ground and one line-drive single. Had that one line-drive not followed the walk, or had there not been two outs, or had the ball not rolled under the right fielder's legs, we're looking at another fine shutout inning. So while it may seem like Masa had a bad week, I'm not so sure.
Who ate it: Where to even begin? Blake, back to playing every inning, responded by slugging .143 — over the last two weeks, he's had one great game (2-4, 6 TB), four decent games (4-14, 0 TB) and eight awful ones (0-25, 0 TB). Dellucci continued his atrocious month, using his 14 PA to generate just 3 total bases, against three double-plays, three strikeouts, and at least three awful throws from left field — his May OPS is just 444, and even worse, it's just 482 against lefties alone. The Platoon Of Despair®, meanwhile, crushed any hopes we might have had for them last week, combining for .156/.282/.188, and yes, that's a 470 OPS, and yes, they are slugging a combined .361 for the season — thanks for asking! Not to be outdone, catchers Martinez and Shoppach combined for an empty 3-for-23 with a 297 OPS. Jensen Lewis gave up three runs on three walks, three singles, two doubles and one HBP, en route to Buffalo. Jorge Julio stepped into two budding trainwrecks (from Byrd and Carmona) and made both of them much worse (more below). Absolute Worst: Julio. Relative Worst: Considering positional OPS differences, it's just too close to call among Martinez (267), Blake (360), Dellucci (445) and Hafner (459).
Who ate it breakdown: Unlike Masa, Jorge Julio's bad week was even worse than it appeared — and with an 18.00 ERA, it appeared pretty bad. In the first game, Julio relieved Byrd with men on first and second and one out. The run expectancy here is 0.97, but Julio was facing the bottom third of Chicago's lineup and had the platoon edge on two of the three. He gave up a deep flyball double to the righty Crede, scoring one inherited runner and advancing the other to third base with only one out. He walked the lefty Swisher intentionally, then gave up a long sac-fly to righty Alexei Ramirez, who just-by-the-way is terrible, scoring that other inherited run, then got the leadoff hitter Cabrera to ground out to end the inning. He started the next inning with strikeouts to Chicago's 2-3 hitters, then the home run to Jermaine Dye — Julio's first earned run allowed in five weeks — at which point he was pulled. So against five right-handers in that game, he got a strikeout and a groundout but also three very hard-hit deep flies, each of which drove in one run.
Of course, that game was just a warmup for the major gas-can emptying he would do two nights later. Relieving a struggling and injured Carmona in the 3rd, with men on first and third and no outs — but again, he's facing the bottom of the lineup, so he really should get out of this with minimal damage. The sequence: walk, walk, grand slam, line-drive double, line-drive double — so already, that's six runs, two inherited and four earned, and there's still no outs. Julio finally gets a groundball, but it goes for an infield single, then a strikeout. The inning ends with two more deep flies that get caught — but the adventure wasn't over! Julio starts the next inning by allowing two more scorching line drives, but it's just his good fortune that the second one is hit straight at Peralta, who catches it and then doubles off the first guy — so that's two outs, bases empty, despite not one batter really beaten by Julio. Next it's a walk, and then a double on a groundball to right, and at that point, he gets pulled with men on second and third, two outs.
So even though his ERA for the week was 18.00, it doesn't begin to describe how bad he really was. Outside of those earned runs, he allowed all four inherited runners to score, while the two runners he left behind did not score. And while he did get some legit outs, he also pitched into some very good luck, and he totally failed to keep the ball in the infield, even with the platoon edge against the other team's worst hitters. He was, all things considered, about as bad as a pitcher can possibly be while getting nine outs — charged with just 6 ER, he pitched badly enough to allow 12.
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Transactions
Placed RHP Fausto Carmona on the 15-day Disabled List (hip)
Although Carmona is expected to miss four weeks, his injury is not considered serious in a long-term sense and may ultimately be a blessing in disguise, keeping his workload down in 2008 after a big jump in innings in 2007. It also basically fits his hypothetical mechanical struggles, either as cause or effect, which fit both his oddly inflated walk totals and Will Carroll's pre-season prediction:
Carmona has never had to come back from a 200-inning workload before, and there's almost always a price to pay for that. I'd expect Carmona to have something happen like did with Westbrook last year at midseason—a minor injury that causes him to miss a month, but that he comes back from strong and actually winds up getting saved from another big jump in IP by the time off.
For any other team, having a starter of Carmona's caliber go down would be seen as catastrophic, but at least on this site, Indians fans hardly registered any alarm at all — perhaps in part because of a learned confidence in the team's ability to heal young pitchers and keep them healthy over the long haul.
But the real confidence is in the Indians' incomparable rotation depth. Jake Westbrook is scheduled to come off the Disabled List just in time to make Carmona's next would-be start, and even if he weren't, the Indians have at least two other starters ready to step in and already on the 40-man roster in Jeremy Sowers and Adam Miller. (It's an odd twist considering that last May, Westbrook went on the DL just in time for Cliff Lee to return, which allowed Carmona to stay and further establish himself in the big-league rotation.)
Its main effect on the team might be to spare everyone the agony of sending a highly effective Aaron Laffey to the minors to make room for Westbrook, a topic which had already started to sprout hourly calls for Paul Byrd to be traded.
Depth is good, and another point this drives home is that it's easier for a team to leverage its depth in the event of injury, rather than in the event of poor performances. With struggling players (e.g., most of the lineup), we have the depth to replace the poorly performing parts but nowhere on any roster to stash them — we're not going to just cut Hafner or Blake, even though we have the depth to replace them. With an injury, you just put the guy on the DL and leverage your depth right away. It's just easier.
Designated LHP Craig Breslow for Assignment
Claimed RHP Oneli Perez from Chicago White Sox and Assigned him to Buffalo (AAA)
Six transactions over two days involving just six spots on the active roster, i.e., the bullpen — there should be no doubt, the Indians are as concerned about the bullpen as the fans are about the offense. And in this sense they're right: The offense should fix itself, and if it doesn't, there isn't much you could do with one or two moves, and major moves rarely happen overnight. The bullpen, on the other hand, seems to be more like ending up with the right hand, and if you can reshuffle the deck every other day to get a new hand, why not keep making moves until you're satisfied?
It also points up the essential hairiness of acquiring, deploying and discarding relievers, an area in which the sample sizes are so scarce that it's worth asking whether any statistics are worth looking at, even over a whole season, let alone the murderer's row of dumb stats we always use for pitchers: "wins," "losses," ERA, holds, saves, blown saves — not a useful stat among them when it comes to relievers. And unlike position players, you can't just throw a guy in there for a while and see what happens, because the results are too costly. A hitter can have a miserable set of three or four games and ultimately not cost the team even one win; offense is a collective effort, and even your best hitters will fail 60 percent of the time anyway. A struggling reliever, however, can torch multiple games in a row, so even if it is a case of bad luck, small sample or an easily recovered-from dry spell, a team just can't take that chance for anyone but the most established performers.
So the team faces a dilemma with a guy like Breslow, who presents plenty to like but an uncertain projection, on a team that feels it doesn't have the margin for error to let him try to develop some consistency. A guy like Rick Bauer is doing exactly that in the minors, but Breslow can't be sent to the minors. Ultimately, the team decided it couldn't be tantalized by his raw ability and favorable contract status. Breslow was passed over by 28 teams on waivers back in March, so we may get to keep him. Bottom line, though, a team like the Indians needs a guy like Breslow to work it out in the minors, and the fact that they might lose him in the process doesn't change that. More than assets, we need options, and Breslow doesn't have any.
Oneli Perez, on the other hand, does have options. He's given up the same 18 runs and five home runs in 2008 that he did in 2007, the difference being the innings: 93 last year, 17 this year. I don't know what went wrong with him in Triple-A this season, all I do know is that he spent more than a full season at Double-A and racked up a 1.84 ERA, while striking out 109 guys in 93 innings — seriously, where do I sign up? He'll turn 25 tomorrow, and he has one option year remaining in addition to the current season. That gives the Indians all of this season and next to turn him around and into a big-league reliever, but given his Double-A numbers, don't be surprised if he ends up contributing in Cleveland this year.
Reinstated RHP Joe Borowski from the 15-day Disabled List (ability)
Funny thing about Borowski is that we all seemed to have blocked him out of our minds, as though his cataclysmic last appearance and subsequent trip to the DL meant that we weren't going to have to suffer him any longer. Like, you know, our long national nightmare is over. Since it isn't, might as well try to look at the bright side, like, no more mind-numbing "closer controversy," as we're spared the otherwise inevitable and inevitably dumb columns about the evils of closer-by-committee.
Borowski does have a small upside, at least compared to the disasters we're all intuitively expecting. He was effective overall last season, and while his ERA reflected real mediocrity, it also reflected a little genuinely bad luck on balls in play, .335 BABIP for a guy whose career mark is .296. Some days — too many days — he just doesn't have it, but he never seems to choke, and he never gives it away. When he's getting beat, it's only because he simply isn't all that good, and if he's a bum, at least he's a bum that Cleveland can get behind.
Optioned RHP Jensen Lewis to Buffalo (AAA)
Recalled RHP Ed Mujica from Buffalo (AAA)
Purchased the Contract of RHP Scott Elarton and Recalled him from Buffalo (AAA)
Confused? Don't be. These moves actually make sense. With Lewis, the Indians reached essentially the same conclusion that they did with Breslow, i.e., that he's not going to work himself into the pitcher the Indians want him to be while in the majors, so down he goes. It makes sense to see this as a win-later move, as the Indians send down a reasonably effective reliever for a few weeks in the hopes of having him make the kind of big impact late in 2008 that he had late in 2007. This is Lewis' first optional assignment, so if there's a price to be paid in terms of the option clock, it won't be until 2011 at the earliest.
Mujica has been Buffalo's most dominant reliever for the last month-plus, and yes, I'm including Bauer. Mujica has only allowed two runs in his last 13 games, spanning 17+ innings, but he had a rough first half of April and gave up seven runs in one appearance on April 6, permanently crapping up his overall numbers. Mujica first emerged as a star prospect back in 2005, in Kinston and Akron at age 21, and in 2006, he went more than three months and nearly 50 innings before giving up a single run in Akron, Buffalo and Cleveland, eventually allowing one in his fourth big-league game on July 14. He struggled with injuries and control in 2007, doing little with the big-league club other than making blowouts into bigger blowouts.
Bauer, for those who must compare, has a track record that is almost shocking in its lack of anything impressive over a 12-year pro career. He had two pretty good seasons in the high minors, at ages 24 and 27, and two solid but unspectacular seasons in the majors, at ages 25 and 29, a lot of mediocre and horrible seasons, even at advanced ages in the minors, and a lot of injuries. He's put up tremendous numbers in Buffalo this year at age 31, but the Indians would be right to suspect that this is just the luckiest run of a long and undistinguished career, right to let him put in more steady work, and right to want to see a lot more before giving him a bigger shot.
Elarton had earned his shot over the past two months in Buffalo, and he brings with him a strong reputation as a positive influence in the clubhouse, which may have factored into this move, given the team's persistent struggles. Fans focused on Elarton's past mediocrity might be interested to note his career numbers as a reliever, which include a 2.54 ERA, 553 OPS-against, 1.01 WHIP and 9.64 K/9. Granted, this was ten years ago, and Elarton doesn't have that kind of velocity anymore, but at least he's done it before, and relieving is just plain easier than starting. It will be interesting to see what kinds of situations Elarton is put into.
There are plenty of candidates to get removed from the 25-man on Wednesday when Westbrook returns, but it's a safe bet that it won't be Elarton, and it's likely the Indians will go back to a six-man bullpen as long as there's no blowout in the next few days. Mujica is now the only active reliever who can be sent to the minors, but there's a decent chance the Indians will opt to DFA Jorge Julio instead. He spent three weeks creeping up to the Circle of Trust, but he just didn't do so well once he got there.
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Week In Review: May 13–19
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The series: Hosted the Athletics (win, win, win) and visited the Reds (loss, loss, loss). It was the best of times, it was the worst of times. The Indians rode an absurd run of exceptional pitching to the division lead, devastating the A's to cap off an 8-2 run, only then to get swept by the not-really-even-kind-of-good Reds. How many weeks see a team move from 1.5 behind one team, to 1.5 ahead of everybody, to 1.5 behind a different team?
The big story: The team's most senior and best pedigreed relievers continued to fail in the 9th inning, raising the question, why are we picking our closers this way, anyway? A week ago, Betancourt followed nine innings of shutout pitching from Cliff Lee with a three-run, game-losing 10th against Toronto. A few days later, he appeared ready to repeat the performance against Oakland, loading the bases while attempting to close the door on a three-run victory. Incredibly, Wedge then pulled his closer — something he refrained from doing in well over a dozen similar situations with Joe Borowski on the mound — in favor of Kobayashi, who had "backed into" his first career save two nights earlier. Kobayashi loosed a run-scoring wild pitch but slammed the door with two strikeouts — and the controversy was on. Wedge said several guys might share the closer role until Borowski returns. Kobayashi was inserted into the next save situation a few nights later and promptly blew the game — bloop single to left, hit-by-pitch, and a three-run walkoff homer to Adam Dunn, who should have been wearing a giant cape with the words "Don't Give This Guy Anything Good To Hit" emblazoned on the back.
Many stupid things have already been written about this, and many more will be written in the coming weeks. We've already heard the brainless drumbeat starting against closer-by-committee, and no doubt much more will follow. You will hear that Bill James invented closer-by-committee (not true) and thinks it's a great idea (not true), that the Red Sox tried closer-by-committee a few years back (true) at James' urging (not true), and that that Red Sox bullpen failed (true) because closer-by-committee is such a terrible idea (not true, it was because they didn't have any good relievers).
Mind you, I don't really care for closer-by-committee much myself, but I like dumb, superstitious baseball commentary even less, and for some reason, the Holy Role Of The Closer seems to bring out the village idiots like little else. As you suffer through it, try to hold firm these simple facts:
- Betancourt has not been steady all season. When Borowski went on the DL, Betancourt had given up two home runs in his last four games. In fact, Betancourt's best stretch of the season came in the two weeks immediately following his being annointed the closer — allowing just one single (and that was the only line drive) and one walk over four games.
- Kobayashi, despite a very impressive career in Japan, is an older pitcher who has never established any level of performance, good or bad, in the U.S. And similar to Betancourt, he had given up two home runs in the five games preceding his first career Save in the U.S.
So there's no reason to think any of this has anything to do with the 9th inning being "different." We've got two veteran relievers struggling, getting inconsistent results in any inning — but we also have a number of younger relievers thriving within limited opportunities. And for whatever it's worth, Betancourt looks to have been extremely unlucky on balls in play (.380 BABIP, compared with .287 career and .240 last season) and is still not giving up any walks (only two unintentional in 72 PA).
In other news: The starters ended a historic run of more than 44 scoreless innings when Aaron Laffey threw a ball into right field while attempting to field a lame squib in front of the mound — even that it was only an unearned run — leading to the curious ESPN headline, "Indians starter gives up run". The streak spanned seven days in seven games, and over that span, the Indians entire pitching staff gave up just six runs — aside from Betancourt, only two runs over 62.2 IP, one unearned, with nine pitchers combining for an insane ERA of 0.14. Over that span, Sabathia and Laffey gave up two runs in 30 innings, and Carmona and Lee pitched 18 scoreless innings in a single day. Byrd contributed another 7+ scoreless innings, and four relievers contributed six scoreless appearances as well.
Cliff Lee ended his own historic run with his first poor start of the season, allowing more runs in that one start (5) than in his first seven combined (4) and nearly as many extra bases. Lee's historically good launch to the season got heavy press coverage, and he still leads the AL by a significant margin in both ERA and FIP.
The offense continued to struggle to stop continuing to struggle, but the problem shifted as some hitters showed some at least signs of recovering (Hafner, Garko), others showed at least an up-and-down tendency (Peralta, Dellucci), while still others displayed an increasingly chornic-looking awfulness (Cabrera, Gutierrez). Jason Tyner was ditched out of a need to summon Jeremy Sowers for a spot start. Sowers was demoted and replaced the next day by Michael Aubrey, a highly touted prospect around 2004 who has been chronically injured ever since. Aubrey made contact in every plate appearance and sent his first major league hit over the Cincinnati fence, and to nobody's particular surprise got more playing time than Andy Marte.
Post of the week: Should we talk about it?
Who fed it: Despite disappointing results, many Indians had a great week, none moreso than Ben Francisco, who piled up five singles, three doubles and a home run in just 18 at-bats, good for a 1359 OPS. Sabathia delivered the club's best start of the week and arguably the whole season, a complete-game shutout in which he faced 32 batters, only two of whom even reached second base, in both cases with two outs. Carmona, Byrd and Laffey each contributed a seven-inning gem, combining to allow only one run, one walk, one HBP and one extra-base hit (a double). Rafael Perez added four more scoreless appearances and hasn't allowed a run in more than three weeks, spanning 11 games. Jorge Julio continued his march on the Circle of Trust, retiring all four batters he faced, two on strikeouts; he's now retired 21 of his last 25 batters, allowing just two singles and two walks. Peralta chose feast over famine with a 1038 OPS, including two doubles and two home runs. Jason Tyner exceeded our wildest expectations, getting released before he could make our wretched offense any worse. Absolute Best: Francisco. Relative Best: Tyner.
Who fed it breakdown: What if Travis Hafner rebuilt his swing and nobody noticed? With half the week's games in the NL, Hafner had a limited role but still produced a home run and three walks — and in fact, he has a very healthy .318/.483/.545 — that's 1028 — over his ten games, which included seven starts and three pinch-hitting shots. It's far too soon to announce that he's back, or even to have any real optimism, but considering his OPS was well under 600 for a month of games before that, it's at least an encouraging sign. Garko, meanwhile, slugged 700 this week with two doubles and two home runs but drew no walks, and he's drawn only two walks in 75 PA over the past four weeks.
Who ate it: Gutierrez is playing himself out of a job completely, or at least into a significantly reduced role, and this week, he failed to reach base even once in ten trips to the plate, which included five strikeouts and a GIDP. His OPS for May is 328, and it's just 545 for April and May combined (that is, the whole season except for his heroic Opening Day act on March 31). Dellucci was also terrible this week, managing just a single in 16 at-bats; he's also having a terrible May (444 OPS) but at least had a good April (871). Cabrera managed just two singles in 17 at-bats (285 OPS) and is carrying a 492 OPS all the way back to April 6. Betancourt retired just one batter out of four and ominously did not appear in any other game. Absolute Worst: Dellucci. Relative Worst: Gutierrez.
Who ate it breakdown: As noted above, the weakness of our offensive attack was nowhere near as widespread this week as it was at the start of the month — the team hit just .232 and slugged .423, but if you exclude AbaCab, Gutierrez and Dellucci, the other 11 position players hit .278 and slugged .523 — more than respectable. This is not to prescribe just leaving those three out of the lineup, as this is just a tiny slice of the season. But it is nice to know that based on this past week's numbers at least, it is possible for us to field a lineup that can produce good numbers.
The other guys. false alarms and open questions: Will be posted later.
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Week In Review: May 6–12
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The series: Visited the Yankees (win, win, loss) and hosted the Blue Jays (win, win, win, loss).
The big story: The team put together a strong week behind a dominant rotation, but the daily lineups wore the strange hue of a series of odd decisions — moves that occasionally excited but more often puzzled, or even smelt of desperation.
Newly promoted Ben Francisco was used in all seven games, including five starts, performing similarly to (and not demonstrably better than) the man he replaced, who was traded to Pittsburgh for (we can guess) something in between a bag of balls and a case of bats. Slight-hitting Jason Tyner was also promoted, adding to our already overstocked cupboard of weak-hitting outfielders, or perhaps more accurately subtracting by addition. Even more strange than Tyner's promotion was his being given a start immediately upon his arrival. We have four better-hitting outfielders — five if you count Blake — most of whom are also good or great defenders, so what was the point of this?
There seemed to be no rhyme or reason to it, unless it was to send the other players a message, something along the lines of: "You guys suck so bad, we might as well be playing Jason freakin' Tyner. That's right, you guys, it's that bad. Our hitting is as pathetic as the goddam Twins now."
And then there's Andy Marte, long buried at the end of the bench, who shockingly got three starts this week — and yet already has fewer at-bats this season (22) than Ben Francisco (25), who has been on the roster only 11 days compared to Marte's 43. Some guys just have to play, apparently, and some guys don't. (See full screed.) It's a good thing we don't have to understand these decisions, because who could?
In other news: Cliff Lee ascended to a new level of other-worldly Chuck Norrissitude, leading a rotation that allowed just nine runs in seven starts, including five games allowing one run or zero. Five! Five starts allowing one run or zero! This week alone! Since April 17, Indians starters have allowed just 35 runs in 23 games, good for a 2.07 ERA. Sabathia even managed to climb out of the ERA cellar, having needed four excellent starts to get his ERA down to 6.55 — still awful, but good enough to surrender the "lead" to Nate Robertson at 6.64, of our alleged rivals the Detroit Tigers. (Happily, the bottom five also includes two other Tigers, Justin Verlander at 6.43 and Kenny Rogers at 5.82.)
Asdrubal Cabrera delivered a stunning series of defensive gems in a two-game stint at shortstop, but he made history when he returned to second base last night, turning just the 14th unassisted triple-play in the history of major league baseball. Rather than save the ball for himself or for the Hall of Fame, AbaCab casually flipped the ball to some fans sitting behind the Indians dugout as he jogged in from the field — just another routine play, I guess.
Post of the week: Okay, maybe let's start using that recommend-until-it's-green thingy. And no, I'm not eligible, thank you.
Who fed it: Cliff Lee pitched 16 scoreless innings, starting a new streak perhaps to rival his previous 27-inning tear. Carmona and Laffey provided another 16 scoreless innings, Carmona's in a complete game shutout, the quartet of Perez-Lewis-Julio- Breslow contributed eight more, and man, that is just a lot of scoreless innings. Julio has been pounding on the door of the Circle of Trust, having retired 22 batters since the last time he allowed a run (April 16) while allowing just two singles and two walks. Breslow meanwhile was fighting just to have his existence recognized, appearing in just his second game in the past four weeks. Casey Blake had the best offensive line of the week with a 912 OPS, though that was more of a reflection on the team's hitting than anything else. Sizemore hit another two home runs, matching his pair from last week, and has a 1063 OPS over his last dozen games. And, well, that's about it for the hitters. How did we ever score 12 runs in that one game? Absolute Best: Lee. Relative Best: Lee.
Who ate it: Garko was the worst-hitting starter this week by far, with just two singles, a double and the obligatory HBP to show for 19 trips to the plate. He bears an atrocious .140/.219/.175 line over his last 16 games, with as many strikeouts, double-plays and sac-flys (14) as times on base (also 14). I can't tell if we're supposed to consider Francisco a bench guy or not, but if we assume that he isn't one, then the bench (Carroll, Shoppach, Marte and Tyner) was unbelievably awful this week — 4 for 43 awful, .093/.152/.093 awful — often frustrating Wedge's attempts to shuffle the lineup and give extra days off to his struggling sluggers, i.e., half the roster. You know who else sucks? Rafael Betancourt, whose ERA is something around 9 since being anointed the closer, I can't even stand to look it up. Absolute Worst: Garko. Relative Worst: Betancourt.
The other guys. false alarms and open questions: Will return next week; I kind of got sidetracked by the whole Marte thing.
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Week In Review: April 22-28
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The series: Visited the Royals (win, win, win) and hosted the Yankees (win, win, loss, loss).
The big story: There were several, and perhaps the biggest was simply that we had a strong week, winning five of seven to move into second place. But the most significant development for the 2008 season going forward was C.C. Sabathia's total U-turn from trainwreck to dominant starter. Sabathia gave up just one run over 14 innings, striking out 11 hapless Royals in the first game and tossing an 8-inning gem in which only five Yankees reached base in the second. This pair of consecutive starts was one of the best of Sabathia's career, surpassed in 2007 only by his back-to-back shutouts in June. At the same time, his first four starts were so horrendous (13.50 ERA) that even after the extreme two-start bounce-back, his ERA is still the worst in the majors at 7.88 – even worse than Barry Zito's. Sabathia's excellence ended up being of no real immediate consequence, as the Indians turned the first one into a 15-1 rout, then handed Sabathia a tough 1-0 loss in the second.
In other news: Jake Westbrook unexpectedly went on the Disabled List with a lower-back muscle strain. Initially expected to miss only a few starts, he's now expected to be out for a full month after his symptoms persisted for a full week. His injury, combined with a rain-delay-induced double-header, resulted in a flurry of call-ups and send-downs as the Indians played with an extra outfielder for a few days (Ben Francisco), swapped out for a spot starter (Jeremy Sowers) on Saturday, swapped out for another extra outfielder (Brad Snyder) on Sunday, and finally on Monday swapped out for Aaron Laffey, who will join the rotation at least for the following week. Both starters made fine 2008 debuts against the Yankees, with Laffey looking significantly stronger than Sowers even though the box scores will claim the opposite.
Lee deepened his improbable run as the game's most effective pitcher with a complete game shutout, as the national media joined Indians fans in collectively dropping their jaws. The lineup blew up for 24 runs in the first two games but then fizzled with just 14 runs in the next five, a trend led by Casey Blake, who posted a 2125 OPS in two games against the Royals but just a 350 OPS starting all four games against the Yankees. The post-Borowski bullpen started to come together as Kobayashi asserted himself with a few strong setup performances while Betancourt breezed through his first two Save opportunities, making the closer's job look suspiciously un-different from his old setup-man gig.
Adam Miller finally made his official 2008 debut in Buffalo, following a few weeks rehabbing a blister and a few weeks in extended spring training. Miller pitched nine scoreless innings in two starts while continuing to build up his pitch count, and his velocity was intact even if his peripherals weren't. Miller's return, coupled with Brian Slocum's solid start, suggests that the Indians remain an absurd eight-deep in big-league-ready starting pitchers, even after putting Westbrook on the DL and shipping Sean Smith off to Colorado. At the same time, David Huff, 39th overall draft pick in 2006, overcame a rocky first two starts to pitch his third straight gem for the Akron Aeros, allowing just one run (on a solo shot) and 13 baserunners against 19 strikeouts over the three games, and he picked off a couple guys, too. If Huff continues to emerge, that may further tempt the Indians to move Miller into the big-league bullpen.
Post of the week: Now taking nominations.
Who fed it: Sabathia dominated in two starts while Lee was near-spotless in his one. Julio excelled in two low-leverage outings, while Kobayashi and Betancourt settled into their new roles; the three relievers faced 32 batters and got 29 outs, including two erased on double-plays, and allowed no one past first base. Blake had the best all-around numbers of any hitter on the week but was abysmal against the Yankees. Victor batted .375, achieving a 902 OPS on the week with (once again) no home runs. Dellucci and Peralta each combined a solid average with a pair of home runs. Seemingly competing for at bats, Michaels and Gutierrez both accounted for a major chunk of our otherwise anemic offense against the Yankees, the former batting .400 while the latter slugged .600, and they looked damned good in the field, too. Special mention must be given to Aaron Laffey, who no-hit the Yankees for five innings and, through sheer horrendous luck alone, gave up four runs in the 6th when he deserved to give up, at most, one. Absolute Best: Sabathia. Relative Best: Lee.
Who ate it: It's hard to say what the worst part of Ryan Garko's week was, the .042 average, the .115 OBP or the .083 slugging. I'm going with the .042 average, because he was just one walk short of decent walk rate, and hey, his isolated power is almost 2.0! Unfortunately, even those minimal contributions were mostly confined to last Tuesday's game, and Garko's line for the last five games was .000/.048/.000. Aside from Garko, the rest of the Indians put up a more-than-respectable .302/.360/.451 line for the week. Hafner continued his harrowing march to the bottom, with week-by-week OPS totals of 824, 761, 592 and (this week) 512 — or, if you prefer, he has a 559 OPS over his last 17 games. Absolute Worst: Garko. Relative Worst: Garko. Twenty Other Kinds Of Worst: Garko. And Yet The Guy Who Really Makes Me Suicidal Is Still: Hafner.
The other guys: We made Wang look like Bob Gibson. The rest of it, pretty fuzzy, maybe I'll fill it in later, does anybody really care about this section?
False alarms:
- Cliff Lee, greatest pitcher in the universe.
- Chien-Ming Wang, second greatest.
- C.C. Sabathia, third greatest (he's actually about tenth).
- Ben Francisco in a Cleveland uniform.
- Ryan Garko, worst hitter ever.
- Jhonny Peralta on web gems last night.
- J-Mike, serviceable big-league hitter.
Open questions:
- How long will Jake be out, and once he returns, will he be totally awesome, or merely awesome?
- How long can Chicago stay at the top of the standings?
- Since any blogger writing in his/her parents' basement in his/her underwear can notice when a reliever's velocity is down 3-5 mph, and might actually write about it without the team's permission, what exactly do we need newspaper columnists for?
- Too soon to start panicking about losing Cliff Lee after 2010?
- When the hell is Slider's birthday, anyway?
- Can Kobayashi confuse hitters with his deathballs all season like Okajima did?
- Can Julio be useful?
- How long will we keep marching Stomp Lewis out there with reduced velocity?
- Just how bad will the game have to be going before we see Mastny or Breslow again, and how bad will they be after a 15-day layoff?
- Has anyone noticed that Eddie Mujica is in his last option year? Does anyone care?
- How much better can Laffey be than he was last year? Is his ceiling is higher than we think?
- Can Steel Rafi get settled and find some semblance of his 2007 consistency?
- How many relievers would have to be failing completely for Adam Miller to get the call to the big-league bullpen? Do we even want to see him there?
- Could Sowers be on the block soon?
- Is it really possible for Marte to spend 120 more days on the roster than Ben Francisco this season, and yet still get fewer at bats?
- Is Wedge basically just testing Marte to see how long it takes him to get an obviously bad attitude, at which point they ship him out?
- Will Shapiro fall for this kind of nonsense again?
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Game Eighteen: Twins 3, Indians 0
| Highest WPA | Lowest WPA | ||
| Ryan Garko | .032 | David Dellucci | -.131 |
| Jorge Julio | .008 | Travis Hafner | -.108 |
| Franklin Gutierrez | -.020 | Jake Westbrook | -.075 |
Westbrook pitched just as well as Nick Blackburn, but Blackburn had the Twins defense behind him. Whether it was good throws, turning hard-hit grounders into double plays, or making good catches in the outfield, the Minnesota glovework essentially won the game.
Jake Westbrook made a first-inning mistake to Justin Morneau, and in this game, mistakes were fatal. Normally throwing 7 innings and allowing 3 runs would be good enough to at least avoid a loss. The non-Sabathia starts have been promising; now the team just has to start hitting.
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Game Fourteen: Red Sox 5, Indians 3
| Highest WPA | Lowest WPA | ||
| Paul Byrd | .219 | Jensen Lewis | -.341 |
| Victor Martinez | .207 | Asdrubal Cabrera | -.220 |
| Ryan Garko | .203 | Jorge Julio | -.172 |
Different night, same late-inning collapse, but with a bit less vitriol. Unfortunately, a loss is still a loss.
Again, the Indians' starter did much better than expected. Again, the Indians' offense had opportunities to break the game open but failed, and again a Tribe reliever committed the cardinal sin of relieverdom, the 9th inning home run.
The seeds for tonight's loss were sown yesterday. For after Rafael Betancourt threw 1.2 innings on Monday, he wasn't going to be available tonight. Which normally wouldn't be that big a deal, but after Joe Borowski was shunted to the Disabled List, the Indians were left with a thin back end of the bullpen. And because Paul Byrd rarely goes deep into games even when pitching well, Eric Wedge was going to have to steal an inning or two with guys not inducted into the Circle of Trust.
Fortunately, Paul Byrd pitched as good a game as he's capable of, allowing 6 base runners in 6 innings. The obvious change from his first couple outings was the command of his pitches. Byrd always has a definite plan to get hitters out, but those plans require intricate placement of pitches. Tonight he stayed on the corners or just off, and fooled Boston's lineup for six innings.
Meanwhile, the offense wasn't helping much, though they didn't lack for opportunities. They left a runner on third in the second, runners on the corners in the third, and runners on first and second in the fourth. They finally got that big hit in the fifth, when Victor Martinez drove home two runs, the culmination of an excellent at-bat. But true to form, Jhonny Peralta ended the inning by grounding into a double play.
So when Paul Byrd left the game, it was just a 2-1 contest, meaning that the Indians' depleted bullpen would have to hold Boston scoreless for the next three innings. Wedge tried to sneak in Jorge Julio in the seventh, as the Red Sox had up the bottom half of their order, but Julio couldn't hit the strike zone, and was removed after walking the first two hitters he faced. Rafael Perez limited the damage, but again, this left a gap in the relief coverage for the rest of the game. Jason Varitek was the sixth batter Jensen Lewis faced.
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Game Four: Athletics 6, Indians 3
| Highest WPA | Lowest WPA | ||
| Ryan Garko | .103 | Paul Byrd | -.166 |
| Craig Breslow | .005 | Casey Blake | -.153 |
| Jorge Julio | .001 | Franklin Gutierrez | -.100 |
Last season, Paul Byrd allowed 28 walks and hit 6 batters (192.1 IP). Last night, in 4.1 innings, he walked 2 and hit 2. And even when he wasn't missing the plate, he was missing wildly within the strike zone. It's a good thing this game was played at night, for the score could have been a lot worse. Or could have been a lot better, if Eric Wedge had seen the writing on the wall and pulled him after three or four innings.
A couple of defensive miscues behind Byrd in the fifth knocked him out for good. Jhonny Peralta misplayed a liner by Mike Sweeney, and later in the inning, Asdrubal Cabrera inexplicably tried to throw home on a weakly-hit grounder to second, leaving the bases loaded with nobody out.
On the other side, Justin Duchscherer, making his first start in five season, was Byrd's anithesis, throwing every pitch in his arsenal for strikes. He racked up 6 strikeouts in five innings, then had to leave with a bicep injury. He had thrown just 72 pitches up to that point.
Let's close out with some good things that happened last night. Jorge Julio, who IMO is being used in the right role so far, ate up 2.1 innings after replacing Byrd, then Craig Breslow finished the game with a 1.1-inning outing, saving the Circle of Trust for the rest of the series. And Travis Hafner and Ryan Garko both hit their first home runs of the season.
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Game 2: Indians 7, White Sox 2
| Highest WPA | Lowest WPA | ||
| Fausto Carmona | .239 | Jhonny Peralta | -.073 |
| Grady Sizemore | .233 | Casey Blake | -.044 |
| Franklin Gutierrez | .075 | Travis Hafner | -.028 |
Beyond the cringeworthy last two innings, a nice all-around effort. Fausto Carmona, beyond a bit of wildness, was indistinguishable from last season. The White Sox pounded his pitches into the ground all night, which can't have been pleasant consider how cold this night was. Fausto had a few pitches get away from him, but he never let those four walks hurt him. You often wonder if a pitcher like Carmona benefits from letting a four-seamer get away from him once in a while, especially if it appears he's not trying to do it. Fear of the unknown, especially if that unknown is a mid-90s fastball, is a powerful resource to tap.
I don't really get sending Carmona out for the seventh. Even the horses aren't conditioned to go more than 100 pitches to start the season, and it should be a priority for the Indians to limit Fausto's unnecessary innings. The whole bullpen was rested, and some guys had a coating of rust on their arms, so why not let him go with an easy six-inning outing?
The offense was very workmanlike, squeezing Javier Vazquez's outing into five innings. After Asdrubal Cabrera singled in Grady Sizemore for the team's third run, a single and two walks made Ozzie Guillen go to the bullpen early. And going to the bullpen to insert your fifth or sixth best reliever is almost always a good thing for the opposing team. Even if the game's close, it means that three or four relievers have to be just about perfect to keep the game within reach. Or that close game can quickly turn into extended garbage time, which in this case it did.
My first impression of Masa Kobayashi was that of a pitcher who absolutely needs to have control of his pitches, for his stuff doesn't look that impressive. White Sox hitters didn't have too much trouble making contact, and it doesn't appear that his windup is that unorthodox. But a first impression is still only one impression, and the cold weather may have affected him.
Likewise, Jorge Julio labored to finish his inning of work, allowing the only home run of the game and allowing two other baserunners. Stuff has never been an issue for Jorge (the major reason why each new club sees the potential of a quality setup man in him), but as we've seen with guys like Jason Davis and Fernando Cabrera, stuff can't cover for bad location or inconsistency. The Indians aren't risking that much, especially with how they're using him, though.
But overall, there's a lot that's gone right these first couple games, with Carmona's outing topping the list.
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