Scheduled Event
Week In Review: April 7-13
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The series: Visited the Angels (loss, win, loss) and hosted the Athletics (loss, loss, win).
The big story: The 2008 rotation became Bizarro 2007 Rotation. Westbrook and Lee were the team's biggest problems in early 2007, combining for a 6.99 ERA through June 2, with just four quality starts in just 13 tries, having missed nine starts due to injury. Their paths diverged after that, with Westbrook returning from the DL to be one of the league's better pitchers in the final three months, while Lee's downward spiral culminated in three straight seven-run trainwrecks and a demotion to Buffalo. This season, the two have combined for a 1.31 ERA and have the same four quality starts in their four tries. This week, Westbrook was either one ground ball or 480 feet away from a shutout, depending on how you look at it, while Lee baffled the Athletics for eight innings of two-hit ball. Lee has allowed just one walk and one extra-base hit in his two starts.
On the flip side, Carmona, so dominant in 2007, started 2008 with fine results but worrisome walk totals, and they finally caught up with him this week in an eight-walk trainwreck in which he was lucky to give up only 3 runs in 3.1 innings. Byrd, surprisingly good to start 2007, has been surprisingly terrible to start 2008. Sabathia, the Cy Young incumbent, produced his third trainwreck in three tries, in fact the worst of the three, and has been the worst starter in all of baseball this season. The last time an Indians starter made three straight starts with an 11-something ERA, he was demoted to the minors the next day, despite his multi-year deal and multi-million-dollar salary. That man, of course, was Cliff Lee.
In other news: All in all, it feels like we're closer to 4-8 than 6-6, whether or not that's actually the case. JoBo served up the first totally incomprehensible and indigestible loss of the year. Iron Rafi seemed to right himself with two perfect innings following a very shaky start, while Steel Rafi got roughed up pretty good. Carmona signed a deal almost too good to be believed, with the Indians guaranteeing just $14.5 million for 2009-2011 while securing Carmona's services at bargain prices clear through 2014. Victor slowly returned to the lineup with little sign of ill effects. The Tigers deepened their early-season hole with a 2-4 performance, getting outscored 39-18 and suffering the losing side of three shutouts along with a minor rash of minor injuries. Gutierrez had the sniffles ("I am Jay's total lack of surprise"), leading to the natural conclusion that Wedge should be fired, while Dellucci defiantly emerged as our second-best hitter behind Garko.
Post of the week: Now taking nominations.
Who fed it: Peralta slugged a cool 947 with three home runs, now on pace for 40. Dellucci smacked three doubles in his four starts, scored as a pinch-runner, and pulled a bases-loaded walk as a pinch-hitter, ending the week with an astonishingly useful .400/.526/.600 line. Lee and Westbrook rocked. Masa, J.J., Craigers and Stomp gave up 3 runs total in 13.2 innings of mostly long relief, with 10 K, 5 BB and 8 hits. Jamey Carroll was transcendently solid, pairing deft defense with a .545 OBP. Shoppach hit .375 with a clutch home run. Absolute Best: Peralta. Relative Best: Dellucci.
Who ate it: Sabathia and Byrd unequivocally crapped the bed in their only starts. AbaCab went 4-for-19, but it's 4-for-24 if we include last Sunday's game, with just one walk and no extra bases. Michaels was an empty 2-for-14, no walks or extra bases – which sadly raised his OPS by 50 points, all the way to 315 – and in fact his OBP (.133) was even lower than his average (.143). Sizemore slugged just .275 over the past ten games, with no extra base hits despite a fine average (the same .275 of course) and decent OBP (.362). Finally, since his clutch double on Opening Day, Blake's line is .129/.206/.161, and he really might be playing his way out of a job. Absolute Worst: Michaels. Relative Worst: Sabathia.
The other guys: Joe Saunders had a terrific outing against us to start the week; K-Rod did not. Vlad and Torii combined to go 8-for-23, and each smacked two home runs in three games. Darren Oliver faced ten batters, hit two of them and walked one, but gave up no hits or runs. Some poor bastard named Fernando Hernandez gave up six runs to us in two outings, recording only a HBP and a run-scoring walk in the first game. The second time out, he very nearly got through two whole scoreless innings, but then he changed his mind and quickly gave up four runs. Bobby Crosby went 5-for-11 with a home run and two walks.
False alarms:
- Royals and White Sox, still in first place.
- Sabathia being the worst pitcher in the league.
- Cliff Lee as Cy Young candidate.
- Marte getting a start.
Open questions:
- Could we stop screwing around and have one really good week please?
- Since any blogger writing in his/her parents' basement in his/her underwear can speculate on whether C.C.'s contract situation is distracting him, what exactly do we need newspaper columnists for?
- How good can Cliff Lee really be, and for how long?
- Can Dellucci be the nice role player he was meant to be for us?
- Still too soon for a Michaels death-watch?
- Too soon to mention a Caesy Blake death-watch, even in hushed tones?
- Martevich? Martevich Martevich Martevich Martevich?
- Still too soon for a Tigers 2008 season death watch?
- How healthy will Victor be this season?
- Could Peralta be charging into a breakout season, just one month from his 26th birthday?
- Can Cliff Lee really bounce back to be a pretty good pitcher?
- Does anybody have any clue who will be our 2009 Opening Day starter?
- For more than half our relievers, do we really have the slightest idea if they're really good or really bad?
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Games Eight and Nine
Game Eight: Indians 4, Angels 3
| Highest WPA | Lowest WPA | ||
| Pronk | .537 | Jamey Carroll | -.174 |
| Jake Westbrook | .173 | Victor Martinez | -.136 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera | .110 | Franklin Gutierrez | -.125 |
Jake Westbrook again pitched extremely well, and this time, he got the victory. Jake gave up three runs on seven hits, but threw nine innings on only 95 pitches. Only in the sixth inning did he face more than four hitters.
He was able to pitch the ninth thanks to Pronk's ninth inning two-run homer. Both Francisco Rodriguez and Scot Shields were unable to pitch, leaving Justin Speier to attempt the save. Speier got the first two hitters easily enough, but Asdrubal Cabrera coaxed a two-out walk, bringing up Hafner, who crushed one out to right field. If you're interested, that home run was worth .712 in WPA.
Game Nine: Angels 9, Indians 5
| Highest WPA | Lowest WPA | ||
| Kelly Shoppach | .082 | Paul Byrd | -.306 |
| Grady Sizemore | .023 | Asdrubal Cabrera | -.082 |
| David Dellucci | .014 | Travis Hafner | -.082 |
Compared to Jake Westbrook's performance the night before, Paul Byrd looked like an emergency callup. Byrd again couldn't spot his pitches, and was thrashed by the Angels. Byrd was brutally honest after his three-inning outing:
"I haven't had my command at all," Byrd said. "I haven't had very good stuff, either. To pitch up here, you have to have one of the two, for sure. I have neither right now."
Of course, Byrd's stuff isn't really that good, at least good enough to for him to get away with it being in the wrong location. Fausto Carmona can miss his spot and still get an out or a swinging strike. If Byrd misses his location and the pitch usually gets hit hard.
The offense was much better, and actually brought the Indians back into the game for a time. The Tribe had 12 hits, which for early 2008 was an outburst. Kelly Shoppach and Jhonny Peralta both homered, and four Indians had multi-hit games. Travis Hafner followed up his heroics the night before with an 0-4 with two strikeouts.
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Series Preview: Los Angeles Angels
2007 At-A-Glance
| Run Creation | AL Rank |
| Runs | 4th |
| BA | 4th |
| OBP | 3rd |
| SLG | 9th |
| Run Prevention |
AL Rank |
| Runs Allowed |
5th |
| Walks Allowed |
3rd |
| HR Allowed |
5th |
| Def. Efficiency |
24th |
The Angels welded an improved offense to their already solid pitching staff to win the AL West. Howie Kendrick and Casey Kotchman had breakout seasons, lightening Vladimir Guerrero's load. Free agent signing Gary Matthews hit just .252/.323/.419, certainly not the type of performance the Angels were paying for. Orlando Cabrera had one of his best offensive seasons, and Chone Figgins, now the everyday third baseman, had his best year as a pro, upping his OBP to .393.
The rotation remained strong, with John Lackey and Kelvim Escobar both having career-best seasons. These two strong performances covered for a regression from Ervin Santana and Bartolo Colon's injuries. The bullpen was again solid, anchored by typical seasons from Francisco Rodriguez and Scot Shields.
Important Offseason Transactions
11-19-07: Traded SS Orlando Cabrera to Chicago (AL) for RHP Jon Garland
11-21-07: Signed CF Torii Hunter to a five-year contract ($90M)
Bartolo Colon left via free agency.
The Hunter signing allowed the Angels to move one of their other three outfielders to DH, filling a hole and improving the defense at the same time. Garrett Anderson would seem to be the logical choice to move off the field, but he hasn't embraced the idea. So the Angels have moved Gary Matthews there by default. Juan Rivera seems to be the odd man out in the outfield - he'd be a nice fit for the Indians if the Dellucci/Michaels platoon doesn't work out.
Dealing for Garland now looks prescient, as the Angels have already lost Kelvim Escobar for am extended period of time, not to mention losing John Lackey to start the season. The Angels replaced Orlando Cabrera internally, opting to go with former Indian Maicer Izturis, who hit well (.289/.349/.405) last season.
Strengths and Weaknesses
The Angels have always been a very aggressive running team, relying on speed rather than power to score runs. Their bullpen has been a strength for several years.
The Angels' main weakness is power; they hit only 123 home runs last season, and only one player (Guerrero) had more than 20 homers.
2008 Outlook
Even with the injuries to Escobar and Lackey, the Angels still are the class of the division. They could still use another power bat, and dumping Matthews would be a bonus, but the Angels' main goal should be keeping everyone (especially Vladimir Guerrero and Howie Kendrick) healthy.
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